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Tok20.yaml
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- key: Tok20 Constrained TCR
doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549
metric:
name: TCR
long_name: Transient Climate Response
units: K
variables: tas
comment: >
For the TCR values of the individual GCM, we do not use the values proposed initially in Tokarska et al. 2020 but the values provided by th IPCC WGI AR6 on Table 7.SM.5 (https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter_07_Supplementary_Material.pdf), completed by some values from the original article
disabled:
cause: preferred_source
preferred: Rib21 Constrained TCR
comment: More conservative estimate than preferred source
type: performance
spatial_scope: Global
temporal_scope: Annual
period:
reference: 1981-2014
comment: >
This is not the period for the metric values (these are model years at
the time of doubling CO2), but the one used in the observational constraint.
plausible_values:
min: 0.9
max: 2.27
source: reference
comment: >
Constrained TCR using 1981-2014 temperature past trends, 90% likely range
(5-95%) for the TCR. See Table S3. On this Table there are also TCR ranges
based on 1981-2017.
This period was selected because it leads to a wider, more conservative
plausible range.
data_source: reference
data:
ACCESS-CM2_r1i1p1f1: 2.10
ACCESS-ESM1-5_r1i1p1f1: 1.95
AWI-CM-1-1-MR_r1i1p1f1: 2.06
BCC-CSM2-MR_r1i1p1f1: 1.72
BCC-ESM1_r1i1p1f1: 1.77
CAMS-CSM1-0_r1i1p1f1: 1.73
CAS-ESM2-0_r1i1p1f1: 2.04
CESM2_r2i1p1f1: 2.06
CESM2-FV2_r1i1p1f1: 2.05
CESM2-WACCM_r1i1p1f1: 1.98
CESM2-WACCM-FV2_r1i1p1f1: 2.01
CIESM_r1i1p1f1: 2.39
CMCC-CM2-SR5_r1i1p1f1: 2.09
CNRM-CM6-1_r1i1p1f2: 2.14
CNRM-CM6-1-HR_r1i1p1f2: 2.48
CNRM-ESM2-1_r1i1p1f2: 1.86
CanESM5_r1-3i1p2f1: 2.74
E3SM-1-0_r1i1p1f1: 2.99
EC-Earth3_r1i1p1f1: 2.30
EC-Earth3-Veg_r1-3i1p1f1: 2.62
FGOALS-f3-L_r1i1p1f1: 1.94
FGOALS-g3_r1i1p1f1: 1.54
FIO-ESM-2-0_r1i1p1f1: 2.22
GFDL-ESM4_r1i1p1f1: 1.61 # Missing in AR6 (this is from Ribes et al., 2021)
GISS-E2-1-G_r1i1p1f1: 1.80
GISS-E2-1-H_r1i1p1f1: 1.93
GISS-E2-2-G_r1i1p1f1: 1.71
HadGEM3-GC31-LL_r1i1p1f1: 2.55
HadGEM3-GC31-MM_r1i1p1f1: 2.58
IITM-ESM_r1i1p1f1: 1.71
INM-CM4-8_r1i1p1f1: 1.33
INM-CM5-0_r1i1p1f1: 1.39 # Missing in AR6 (this is from Ribes et al., 2021)
IPSL-CM6A-LR_r1-6i1p1f1: 2.32
IPSL-CM6A-LR_r14i1p1f1: 2.32
KACE-1-0-G_r1i1p1f1: 1.41
MCM-UA-1-0_r1i1p1f1: 1.94
MIROC-ES2L_r1i1p1f1: 1.55
MIROC6_r1i1p1f1: 1.55
MPI-ESM-1-2-HAM_r1i1p1f1: 1.80
MPI-ESM1-2-HR_r1i1p1f1: 1.66
MPI-ESM1-2-LR_r1i1p1f1: 1.84
MRI-ESM2-0_r1i1p1f1: 1.64
NESM3_r1i1p1f1: 2.72
NorCPM1_r1i1p1f1: 1.56
NorESM2-LM_r1i1p1f1: 1.48
NorESM2-MM_r1i1p1f1: 1.33
SAM0-UNICON_r1i1p1f1: 2.27
TaiESM1_r1i1p1f1: 2.34
UKESM1-0-LL_r1-3i1p1f2: 2.79