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Move to R0 and serial interval specification #74

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samclifford opened this issue Apr 29, 2020 · 4 comments
Open

Move to R0 and serial interval specification #74

samclifford opened this issue Apr 29, 2020 · 4 comments
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enhancement New feature or request

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@samclifford
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Can ask user to specify either R0 and serial interval or doubling/halving time for exponential growth/decay. This gives us a way to look at steady state occupancy.

@samclifford samclifford added the enhancement New feature or request label Apr 29, 2020
@samclifford
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Park et al (2020) have done a systematic review containing serial interval and R0. They cite Du et al. (2020) who studied 468 pairs and report a mean of 3.96 (SD 4.75) days, with negative serial intervals indicating presymptomatic transmission. So perhaps in this case a normal distribution for the serial interval is most appropriate.

@samclifford
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Implemented in d1345a0

@samclifford
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Above implementation not correct. Need to cannibalise the r_doubling code to pull out the generation of R0 and Tc values and then put a selector to determine whether to use doubling time or a branching process. Will also require a selector for the dispersion parameter of the negative binomial distribution. This should probably only take on published values for the time being: 0.1 (Endo et al.) and 0.54 (Riou and Althaus).

@samclifford
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Definitely done at least as late as b0e2b1b

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