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<!-- README.md is generated from README.Rmd. Please edit that file --> | ||
This is code for an ABM of a climate prediction market in which traders adapt their belief about the climate based on the monetary performance of their neighboring traders in a social network. The ABM is meant to test whether climate prediction markets foster the convergence of people’s beliefs about the climate. The model will be used to assess whether such convergence is impacted by factors such as the initial belief-homophily in the social network or the time horizon at which climate securities are realized. | ||
This is code for an agent-based model (ABM) of a climate prediction market in which traders adapt their belief about the climate based on the monetary performance of their neighboring traders in a social network. The ABM is meant to test whether climate prediction markets foster the convergence of people’s beliefs about the climate. | ||
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[John J. Nay](https://johnnay.github.io) (School of Engineering, Vanderbilt University) and [Martin Van der Linden](https://martinvdlinden.wordpress.com/) (Dept. of Economics, Vanderbilt University). | ||
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Master is the main script that sources everything else. | ||
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``` r | ||
source("master.R") | ||
``` | ||
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Here is a snapshot of the model's network of agents at an intialization: | ||
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![alt text](figures/network.png) | ||
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The colors of the nodes correspond to different beliefs about the climate | ||
[John J. Nay](http://johnjnay.com/) (School of Engineering, Vanderbilt University), [Martin Van der Linden](https://martinvdlinden.wordpress.com/) (Economics, Vanderbilt University), and [Jonathan M. Gilligan](https://my.vanderbilt.edu/jonathangilligan/) (Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University). |